Gilles Touboul

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Gilles Touboul is passionate geopolitical analyst and former trader specializing in Asian and Middle Eastern markets. An observer of international upheavals, he regularly speaks on topics related to conflicts, international relations, and the impact of geopolitics on the global economy. A graduate in oriental languages and international relations, Gilles lives in Israel

Ultimi articoli pubblicati dall'autore

Iran: Démocraties contre dictatures Internazionale

Iran: Démocraties contre dictatures

20/07/2026 6:00 PM Iran: Démocraties contre dictatures: Les hommes passent, les idéologies attendent Les Gardiens de la révolution n’ont pas besoin de vaincre les États-Unis. Ils doivent surtout résister assez longtemps pour que l’Amérique se fatigue. Les hommes partent, les idéologies restent. C’est peut-être l’une...
La crise iranienne, miroir stratégique pour la Chine Internazionale

La crise iranienne, miroir stratégique pour la Chine

16/07/2026 11:26 AM La crise iranienne, miroir stratégique pour la Chine 1-La crise iranienne influence-t-elle le calcul stratégique chinois ? Pékin observe-t-il la puissance américaine, ou surtout sa patience stratégique? Oui, la crise iranienne influence déjà probablement le calcul stratégique chinois, mais pas forcément en faveur d'une...
Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust the United States? Internazionale

Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust the United States?

13/07/2026 5:23 PM Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust the United States? This may be the central question in the current crisis between Washington and Tehran. Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust America, complicate its leadership, weaken its alliances, and make every American decision more costly? The answer is quite clear: Iran is not seeking a...
Une victoire militaire peut-elle produire une fragilisation diplomatique? Internazionale

Une victoire militaire peut-elle produire une fragilisation diplomatique?

13/07/2026 9:20 AM Une victoire militaire peut-elle produire une fragilisation diplomatique? Il y a des guerres que l’on gagne sur le terrain, mais dont les conséquences politiques restent beaucoup plus difficiles à maîtriser. C’est peut-être l’une des grandes leçons de la guerre récente avec l’Iran. Sur le plan militaire, les États-Unis...
Le vrai message du baril Internazionale

Le vrai message du baril

06/07/2026 11:32 AM Le vrai message du bari Il y a des moments où les marchés disent tout haut ce que les diplomaties préfèrent dire à demi-mot. La récente baisse du prix du pétrole en fait partie. Elle ne signifie pas que le Moyen-Orient est entré dans une période de paix. Elle ne signifie pas non plus que le risque iranien a disparu. Mais elle...
When the Yen Becomes a Geopolitical Signal Internazionale

When the Yen Becomes a Geopolitical Signal

03/07/2026 11:22 AM When the Yen Becomes a Geopolitical Signal It is often believed that currencies belong to the world of markets, central banks and trading rooms. This is true, of course. But in an unstable world, a currency is never just a financial instrument; it also becomes a political signal. It says something about trust, dependence, the real power...
Moyen-Orient: Téhéran perd la main au Liban Internazionale

Moyen-Orient: Téhéran perd la main au Liban

30/06/2026 11:54 AM Moyen-Orient: Téhéran perd la main au Liban L'accord initial conclu entre Israël et le Liban à l'issue des négociations facilitées par les États-Unis ne saurait être perçu uniquement comme une question bilatérale. Il s'agit également d'un message. Un communiqué destiné au Hezbollah, un message adressé à l'Iran et,...
Middle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines Internazionale

Middle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines

29/06/2026 7:09 AM Middle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines Sometimes, inside an American administration, the real divisions are not expressed openly. Officially, everyone is aligned behind the president. Officially, there is only one strategy, one line, one diplomacy. But in reality, files often speak more clearly than official statements. This is what we...
The Iranian Theorem Internazionale

The Iranian Theorem

22/06/2026 7:47 AM The Iranian Theorem By signing a memorandum of understanding with Tehran, Washington has ended a four-month war. On paper, the text can be read as an American victory: a ceasefire, the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, an Iranian commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons, and a 60-day negotiation window. So the White House can...
U.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival? Internazionale

U.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival?

18/06/2026 12:43 PM U.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival There are agreements that end a war. And there are agreements that simply move the battlefield. The one that could be signed between the United States and Iran likely belongs to the latter category. "Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif claims that a final text has been found and that a...
Internazionale

Reflection on the current geopolitical situation

17/06/2026
Reflection on the current geopolitical situation For a long time, people thought that diplomacy was supposed to end wars. We signed treaties, drew borders, and established new balances, then history resumed its course. This vision is becoming less relevant. The world of June 16, 2026, shows us something else: contemporary diplomacy no...
Le Japon comme arrière-garde stratégique de Taïwan Internazionale

Le Japon comme arrière-garde stratégique de Taïwan

14/06/2026 6:59 AM Le Japon comme arrière-garde stratégique de Taïwa Officiellement, il n’y a pas d’alliance militaire entre Tokyo et Taipei. Le Japon n’a pas de traité de défense avec Taïwan. Il n’a même pas de relations diplomatiques officielles avec l’île, ses relations étant maintenues à un niveau « non gouvernemental » depuis...
Xi in Pyongyang: China Reminds North Korea Who Holds the Key Internazionale

Xi in Pyongyang: China Reminds North Korea Who Holds the Key

14/06/2026 6:14 AM Xi in Pyongyang: China Reminds North Korea Who Holds the Key Diplomatic trips are not limited to simple official visits. They are messages. And sometimes even reminders of order. The announced visit of Xi Jinping to North Korea on June 8-9, 2026, should be read as follows. Officially, it is about strengthening ties between Beijing and...
Japan as Taiwan’s Strategic Rear Front Internazionale

Japan as Taiwan’s Strategic Rear Front

06/06/2026 5:53 PM Japan as Taiwan’s Strategic Rear Front Officially, there is no military alliance between Tokyo and Taipei. Japan does not have a defense treaty with Taiwan. It does not even have formal diplomatic relations with the island, its relations having been maintained at a “non-governmental” level since the 1972 Sino-Japanese communiqué....
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