Gilles Touboul, Autore di OFCS.Report

Gilles Touboul

52 posts 3454 views

Gilles Touboul is passionate geopolitical analyst and former trader specializing in Asian and Middle Eastern markets. An observer of international upheavals, he regularly speaks on topics related to conflicts, international relations, and the impact of geopolitics on the global economy. A graduate in oriental languages and international relations, Gilles lives in Israel

Ultimi articoli pubblicati dall'autore

Internazionale

The Iranian Theorem

22/06/2026 7:47 AM

The Iranian Theorem By signing a memorandum of understanding with Tehran, Washington has ended a four-month war. On paper, the text can be read as an American victory: a ceasefire, the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, an Iranian commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons, and a 60-day negotiation window. So the White House can...

Internazionale

U.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival?

18/06/2026 12:43 PM

U.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival There are agreements that end a war. And there are agreements that simply move the battlefield. The one that could be signed between the United States and Iran likely belongs to the latter category. "Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif claims that a final text has been found and that a...

Internazionale

Le Japon comme arrière-garde stratégique de Taïwan

14/06/2026 6:59 AM

Le Japon comme arrière-garde stratégique de Taïwa Officiellement, il n’y a pas d’alliance militaire entre Tokyo et Taipei. Le Japon n’a pas de traité de défense avec Taïwan. Il n’a même pas de relations diplomatiques officielles avec l’île, ses relations étant maintenues à un niveau « non gouvernemental » depuis...

Internazionale

Xi in Pyongyang: China Reminds North Korea Who Holds the Key

14/06/2026 6:14 AM

Xi in Pyongyang: China Reminds North Korea Who Holds the Key Diplomatic trips are not limited to simple official visits. They are messages. And sometimes even reminders of order. The announced visit of Xi Jinping to North Korea on June 8-9, 2026, should be read as follows. Officially, it is about strengthening ties between Beijing and...

Internazionale

Japan as Taiwan’s Strategic Rear Front

06/06/2026 5:53 PM

Japan as Taiwan’s Strategic Rear Front Officially, there is no military alliance between Tokyo and Taipei. Japan does not have a defense treaty with Taiwan. It does not even have formal diplomatic relations with the island, its relations having been maintained at a “non-governmental” level since the 1972 Sino-Japanese communiqué....

Internazionale

The Strong Shekel: Paradox of an Economy at War

31/05/2026 12:28 PM

The Strong Shekel: Paradox of an Economy at Wa There is something almost counterintuitive in the current Israeli economic situation. Israel is facing war with Iran, permanent tension on the Lebanese front, uncertainty in Gaza, regional instability, and political pressure from abroad — and yet the shekel is extremely strong against...

Internazionale

While waiting for the agreement?

25/05/2026 10:51 AM

While waiting for the agreement? Given the latest available evidence, an imminent agreement would probably not yet be a peace, but rather a strategic truce dressed up as a political accord. The information refers to a text including an extension of the ceasefire by 60 days, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of the...

Internazionale

The War of Time: Iran Has Already Lost?

21/05/2026 7:35 PM

The War of Time: Iran Has Already Lost? All the media, political experts and analysts claim that Iran excels in the art of negotiations and that the more time passes, the more it seems to be a victory for Iran against the United States. The narrative of “Iran wins by negotiating” is based on a classic miscalculation: it...

Internazionale

A Photograph of the New World Order

14/05/2026 5:33 PM

A Photograph of the New World Orde This trip is a strategic parity scene. Not just a discussion about Iran, Taiwan, or prices. Beijing wants to show that the Sino-American relationship is no longer resolved in a fashion of "Washington decides", "Beijing reacts". China wants to impose another grammar: two great powers, two systems, two...

Internazionale

The victory of strategic fog

11/05/2026 11:40 AM

The victory of strategic fog There are times when geopolitics can no longer be read in official communiqués, but in the uncertainty they produce. The crisis between the United States and Iran has entered this strange zone where no one—neither the military, nor the diplomats, nor the communication experts—is able to tell if we are...

Internazionale

Iran : l’inflexibilité comme dernière défense du régime

07/05/2026 6:04 AM

Iran : l’inflexibilité comme dernière défense du régime La vraie question n’est peut-être pas : pourquoi les Gardiens de la Révolution ne cèdent-ils pas ? La vraie question est plutôt : peuvent-ils encore céder sans se condamner eux-mêmes ? L’Iran d’aujourd’hui n’est pas seulement un État sous pression. C’est...

Internazionale

Iran After the Mullahs: When the Revolution Devours Its Clerics

27/04/2026 9:25 AM

Iran After the Mullahs: When the Revolution Devours Its Cleric What the US-Israel war may have ended is not the Islamic Republic as a state. It is the theocracy that has structured it since 1979. In its place emerges another order: harder, colder, and also more readable. No longer a regime dominated by the clerics, but a revolutionary...

Internazionale

Comment Washington a instrumentalisé la stratégie iranienne dans le détroit

19/04/2026 8:44 AM

Comment Washington a instrumentalisé la stratégie iranienne dans le détroi C’est une figure commode dans le commentaire contemporain: celle qui consiste à se moquer de Donald Trump pour mieux éviter de l’analyser. La fermeture du détroit d’Ormuz par l’Iran, présentée pendant des semaines comme une victoire iranienne...

Page 2 of 4123 4

Middle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines