04/09/2026 9:37 AMCan China Become a Security Power in the M.E. Without Falling Into the USA Trap
For a long time, China’s strategy in the Middle East was quite simple: trade with everyone, buy oil, invest in ports and infrastructure, respect the independence of states, but avoid as much as possible shouldering the burden of regional security.
In some...
15/08/2026 5:47 PMThe EU-China Trade and Investment Consultations: the Structural Limits of Rebalancing and the Question of European Autonom
Introduction: The real problem is not negotiating, but understanding what is negotiable
The new round of Trade and Investment Consultations (TIC) between the European Union and the People’s Republic of China...
24/07/2026 8:46 AMWhen Flows Become the New Frontiers
What if the world was no longer organized around regions , but around flows?
For a long time, we learned to read the world by region: the Middle East, Europe, the Indo-Pacific, Africa, and Latin America. This reading remains useful. It allows us to understand histories, borders, rivalries, peoples,...
16/07/2026 11:26 AMLa crise iranienne, miroir stratégique pour la Chine
1-La crise iranienne influence-t-elle le calcul stratégique chinois ?
Pékin observe-t-il la puissance américaine, ou surtout sa patience stratégique? Oui, la crise iranienne influence déjà probablement le calcul stratégique chinois, mais pas forcément en faveur d'une...
03/07/2026 11:22 AMWhen the Yen Becomes a Geopolitical Signal
It is often believed that currencies belong to the world of markets, central banks and trading rooms. This is true, of course. But in an unstable world, a currency is never just a financial instrument; it also becomes a political signal. It says something about trust, dependence, the real power...
03/07/2026 10:48 AMThe Long Decline of Venezuela
Abstract
This study offers a comprehensive reinterpretation of the contemporary Venezuelan crisis through a long-term historical perspective, with the aim of moving beyond interpretations that attribute it exclusively to the political and economic dynamics of recent decades. The central thesis argues...
14/06/2026 10:33 AMThe architecture of the deal: russian withdrawal, chinese exposure, manufactured dissent, and the seven variables Washington is not namin
Three structural facts are pressing against each other simultaneously: Russia has quietly removed its nuclear personnel from Iran; China is absorbing the financial consequences of losing its primary...
14/06/2026 6:59 AMLe Japon comme arrière-garde stratégique de Taïwa
Officiellement, il n’y a pas d’alliance militaire entre Tokyo et Taipei. Le Japon n’a pas de traité de défense avec Taïwan. Il n’a même pas de relations diplomatiques officielles avec l’île, ses relations étant maintenues à un niveau « non gouvernemental » depuis...
14/06/2026 6:14 AMXi in Pyongyang: China Reminds North Korea Who Holds the Key
Diplomatic trips are not limited to simple official visits. They are messages. And sometimes even reminders of order.
The announced visit of Xi Jinping to North Korea on June 8-9, 2026, should be read as follows. Officially, it is about strengthening ties between Beijing and...
06/06/2026 5:53 PMJapan as Taiwan’s Strategic Rear Front
Officially, there is no military alliance between Tokyo and Taipei. Japan does not have a defense treaty with Taiwan. It does not even have formal diplomatic relations with the island, its relations having been maintained at a “non-governmental” level since the 1972 Sino-Japanese communiqué....
06/06/2026 5:46 PMThe Return of the Sacre
Abstract
The essay analyzes the transformation of the interpretive categories through which the West reads 21st century conflicts, arguing that the demise of the great twentieth-century ideologies has not produced a reduction in the need for meaning, but its reconfiguration into more resilient forms of...
31/05/2026 12:53 PMSystem Coherence and Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence
Executive Summary
Global competition in artificial intelligence is often framed as a race in numbers—engineers, graduates, or research output. This framing is misleading.
The decisive variable is not how many engineers a system produces, but how effectively it...
25/05/2026 10:51 AMWhile waiting for the agreement?
Given the latest available evidence, an imminent agreement would probably not yet be a peace, but rather a strategic truce dressed up as a political accord. The information refers to a text including an extension of the ceasefire by 60 days, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of the...
15/04/2026 12:28 PMStrait of Hormuz: masterstroke or strategic Trap
The idea of a U.S. naval blockade of Hormuz is no longer just a far-off thought since the American-Iranian conflict started on February 28, 2026. It is now a real option for strategy. But in geopolitics, an option on paper almost always has effects that are not neutral.
What Washington...
23/02/2026 4:29 PMTaiwan, a global revealer.
Taiwan is often referred to as a 'territorial conflict'. The expression conforts: But this reading grid is no longer enough. Taiwan is less a territory than a thermometer — and sometimes an accelerator—of the tipping over of the world order. What is at stake here goes beyond cartography: It is the...
20/02/2026 12:12 PMIs the Yuan Really Threatening the Dollar?
The structural contestation of the USD begins in 2008, with the financial crisis, everything accelerated with the war in Ukraine. Even if the contestation is 'real', the 'de-dollarization' remains a slow process.
Since the end of the Second World War, the US dollar has occupied a unique place...
28/09/2025 5:41 PMLa Manipulación del Dragón: Corrupción Estratégica China en América Latin
Introducción
La penetración china en América Latina se manifiesta más allá de los acuerdos comerciales y la inversión pública. Empresas estatales, intermediarios y operadores encubiertos han formado verdaderas redes de influencia que utilizan el...
13/06/2025 5:35 PMEvidence of balkanization of the MENA and Indo-Pacific area by means of jihad?
The term "balkanization" usually refers to the process of dismemberment of a State or area into smaller political entities, often resulting in instability and conflict. In simple words, it is like when a country is divided into several States or regions,...
23/05/2025 5:52 PMThe myth that U.S. sanctions can facilitate China’s advance in Latin America.
Introduction
In recent years, the idea has been promoted that certain U.S. policies have directly or indirectly enabled China’s expansion in Latin America (Americas Quarterly, 2019). However, this phenomenon requires a more comprehensive analysis that...
06/05/2025 1:09 PMLa Tercera Guerra Mundial no está llegando... Ya está aquí.
Sólo tenemos que echar un vistazo alrededor. Rusia ya está invadiendo Europa del Este y librando conflictos híbridos, mientras Irán está en Suecia y China avanza a gran velocidad.
Es sólo cuestión de tiempo antes de que China sienta que tiene suficiente poder...