18/07/2026 1:31 PM7 ottobre, la rete di Hamas tra Iran e Turchia
In un recente passato abbiamo fornito alcuni contributi sulle vicende connesse ai tragici fatti del 7 ottobre 2023, perpetrati ignobilmente dai terroristi di Hamas in danno della popolazione civile israeliana. Non abbiamo risparmiato condanne verso gli autori delle stragi ne critiche al...
16/07/2026 11:26 AMLa crise iranienne, miroir stratégique pour la Chine
1-La crise iranienne influence-t-elle le calcul stratégique chinois ?
Pékin observe-t-il la puissance américaine, ou surtout sa patience stratégique? Oui, la crise iranienne influence déjà probablement le calcul stratégique chinois, mais pas forcément en faveur d'une...
13/07/2026 5:23 PMIs Iran seeking to politically exhaust the United States?
This may be the central question in the current crisis between Washington and Tehran. Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust America, complicate its leadership, weaken its alliances, and make every American decision more costly?
The answer is quite clear: Iran is not seeking a...
13/07/2026 10:02 AMTrump's 'Understanding' with Terrorists: Iran's Regime Remains in Place to Arrest, Torture and Kill
On June 17, US President Donald J. Trump signed the "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding" (MOU) with the Islamic Republic of Iran. According to its text, the US undertakes to develop a plan "with at least USD 300 billion for the...
13/07/2026 9:20 AMUne victoire militaire peut-elle produire une fragilisation diplomatique?
Il y a des guerres que l’on gagne sur le terrain, mais dont les conséquences politiques restent beaucoup plus difficiles à maîtriser. C’est peut-être l’une des grandes leçons de la guerre récente avec l’Iran.
Sur le plan militaire, les États-Unis...
12/07/2026 12:26 PMKurds, Persians, and the National Question in Iran
This article refers to the existence of a geographical region now internationally recognized as Iran. However, historically, this region has been home to several distinct nations and peoples. Despite the lack of consensus among these nations, their territories have been politically...
10/07/2026 11:53 AMSomalia y la guerra interminable contra Al Shabaab: entre las victorias tácticas y el fracaso estratégico
La ofensiva impulsada por Hassan Sheikh Mohamud ha permitido recuperar la iniciativa militar frente a Al Shabaab. Sin embargo, la evolución de la rama somalí de Al Qaeda, la fragilidad del Estado y la creciente...
06/07/2026 11:32 AMLe vrai message du bari
Il y a des moments où les marchés disent tout haut ce que les diplomaties préfèrent dire à demi-mot. La récente baisse du prix du pétrole en fait partie. Elle ne signifie pas que le Moyen-Orient est entré dans une période de paix. Elle ne signifie pas non plus que le risque iranien a disparu. Mais elle...
29/06/2026 7:09 AMMiddle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines
Sometimes, inside an American administration, the real divisions are not expressed openly. Officially, everyone is aligned behind the president. Officially, there is only one strategy, one line, one diplomacy. But in reality, files often speak more clearly than official statements.
This is what we...
24/06/2026 11:27 AMEl ocaso del eje de la resistencia: cómo el colapso de Siria e Irán redibuja el tablero de Oriente Medi
La reconfiguración del orden político en Oriente Medio ha alcanzado un punto de inflexión histórico tras los recientes cambios estructurales en Siria y la profunda degradación interna de la República Islámica de Irán.
Este...
22/06/2026 7:47 AMThe Iranian Theorem
By signing a memorandum of understanding with Tehran, Washington has ended a four-month war. On paper, the text can be read as an American victory: a ceasefire, the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, an Iranian commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons, and a 60-day negotiation window. So the White House can...
18/06/2026 12:43 PMU.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival
There are agreements that end a war. And there are agreements that simply move the battlefield. The one that could be signed between the United States and Iran likely belongs to the latter category.
"Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif claims that a final text has been found and that a...
18/06/2026 9:12 AMEl plan oculto tras la paz en Iran:Por qué Israel y Estados ya dise diseñan la estocada final
La prolongación del conflicto armado en Oriente Medio generaría un impacto asimétrico irreversible, donde Irán sufriría una implosión estructural interna mientras que las potencias occidentales e Israel capitalizarían la guerra...
Reflection on the current geopolitical situation
For a long time, people thought that diplomacy was supposed to end wars. We signed treaties, drew borders, and established new balances, then history resumed its course. This vision is becoming less relevant. The world of June 16, 2026, shows us something else: contemporary diplomacy no...
16/06/2026 5:54 PMRilettura strategica delle equazioni militari e diplomatiche ai confini occidentali dell'Iran
1. Deterrenza difensiva e ostacoli a un'invasione di terra dai confini occidentali
L'assenza di un'azione militare di terra contro l'Iran attraverso i suoi confini occidentali è dettata da due fattori chiave: fortificazioni e prontezza al...
14/06/2026 10:33 AMThe architecture of the deal: russian withdrawal, chinese exposure, manufactured dissent, and the seven variables Washington is not namin
Three structural facts are pressing against each other simultaneously: Russia has quietly removed its nuclear personnel from Iran; China is absorbing the financial consequences of losing its primary...
06/06/2026 5:46 PMThe Return of the Sacre
Abstract
The essay analyzes the transformation of the interpretive categories through which the West reads 21st century conflicts, arguing that the demise of the great twentieth-century ideologies has not produced a reduction in the need for meaning, but its reconfiguration into more resilient forms of...
25/05/2026 10:51 AMWhile waiting for the agreement?
Given the latest available evidence, an imminent agreement would probably not yet be a peace, but rather a strategic truce dressed up as a political accord. The information refers to a text including an extension of the ceasefire by 60 days, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of the...
21/05/2026 7:35 PMThe War of Time: Iran Has Already Lost?
All the media, political experts and analysts claim that Iran excels in the art of negotiations and that the more time passes, the more it seems to be a victory for Iran against the United States.
The narrative of “Iran wins by negotiating” is based on a classic miscalculation: it...
14/05/2026 5:33 PMA Photograph of the New World Orde
This trip is a strategic parity scene. Not just a discussion about Iran, Taiwan, or prices. Beijing wants to show that the Sino-American relationship is no longer resolved in a fashion of "Washington decides", "Beijing reacts". China wants to impose another grammar: two great powers, two systems, two...