11/09/2026 7:15 AMIran–United States: Why Is Tehran Taking the Risk of Provoking Washington
No one will have missed that Tehran is provoking Washington.
At first glance, Iranian strategy may seem difficult to understand. Facing a vastly superior military power, why would Tehran continue to provoke the United States? Why take the risk of a new...
14/08/2026 1:11 PMTra il blocco dello Stretto di Hormuz e le tensioni che riaccendono il Mediterraneo e il Mar Rosso, la prima settimana di agosto ci consegna un quadro di profonda instabilità geopolitica ed economica. Mentre la flotta ombra russa continua a muoversi sui mercati energetici con grande flessibilità strategica e le rotte commerciali...
12/08/2026 8:32 AMIran–United States: The clock war has begun
On television panels, two narratives now clash almost mechanically. On one side are those who support Donald Trump and are desperately searching for the still-invisible American strategy—one that would explain the hesitations, delays, and unfulfilled threats, and which would soon prove...
05/08/2026 12:48 PMUsa - Israel - Iran: The invisible table
Let us, however, not misunderstand the meaning of this piece. It is neither a criticism of the United States nor an indictment of its foreign policy. Unfortunately, it is only an observation: that of a sequence that has become confused, repetitive, and sometimes almost unreal, even as its human...
31/07/2026 11:25 AMWashington face au piège de la puissance dispersé
Une superpuissance peut-elle rester crédible sur plusieurs théâtres à la fois ?
La question n’est plus seulement de savoir si les États-Unis sont puissants. La réponse est évidente : ils le sont. Ils disposent encore de la première puissance militaire mondiale, d’un...
24/07/2026 8:46 AMWhen Flows Become the New Frontiers
What if the world was no longer organized around regions , but around flows?
For a long time, we learned to read the world by region: the Middle East, Europe, the Indo-Pacific, Africa, and Latin America. This reading remains useful. It allows us to understand histories, borders, rivalries, peoples,...
20/07/2026 6:00 PM
Iran: Démocraties contre dictatures: Les hommes passent, les idéologies attendent
Les Gardiens de la révolution n’ont pas besoin de vaincre les États-Unis. Ils doivent surtout résister assez longtemps pour que l’Amérique se fatigue.
Les hommes partent, les idéologies restent. C’est peut-être l’une...
18/07/2026 1:31 PM7 ottobre, la rete di Hamas tra Iran e Turchia
In un recente passato abbiamo fornito alcuni contributi sulle vicende connesse ai tragici fatti del 7 ottobre 2023, perpetrati ignobilmente dai terroristi di Hamas in danno della popolazione civile israeliana. Non abbiamo risparmiato condanne verso gli autori delle stragi ne critiche al...
16/07/2026 11:26 AMLa crise iranienne, miroir stratégique pour la Chine
1-La crise iranienne influence-t-elle le calcul stratégique chinois ?
Pékin observe-t-il la puissance américaine, ou surtout sa patience stratégique? Oui, la crise iranienne influence déjà probablement le calcul stratégique chinois, mais pas forcément en faveur d'une...
13/07/2026 5:23 PMIs Iran seeking to politically exhaust the United States?
This may be the central question in the current crisis between Washington and Tehran. Is Iran seeking to politically exhaust America, complicate its leadership, weaken its alliances, and make every American decision more costly?
The answer is quite clear: Iran is not seeking a...
13/07/2026 10:02 AMTrump's 'Understanding' with Terrorists: Iran's Regime Remains in Place to Arrest, Torture and Kill
On June 17, US President Donald J. Trump signed the "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding" (MOU) with the Islamic Republic of Iran. According to its text, the US undertakes to develop a plan "with at least USD 300 billion for the...
13/07/2026 9:20 AMUne victoire militaire peut-elle produire une fragilisation diplomatique?
Il y a des guerres que l’on gagne sur le terrain, mais dont les conséquences politiques restent beaucoup plus difficiles à maîtriser. C’est peut-être l’une des grandes leçons de la guerre récente avec l’Iran.
Sur le plan militaire, les États-Unis...
12/07/2026 12:26 PMKurds, Persians, and the National Question in Iran
This article refers to the existence of a geographical region now internationally recognized as Iran. However, historically, this region has been home to several distinct nations and peoples. Despite the lack of consensus among these nations, their territories have been politically...
10/07/2026 11:53 AMSomalia y la guerra interminable contra Al Shabaab: entre las victorias tácticas y el fracaso estratégico
La ofensiva impulsada por Hassan Sheikh Mohamud ha permitido recuperar la iniciativa militar frente a Al Shabaab. Sin embargo, la evolución de la rama somalí de Al Qaeda, la fragilidad del Estado y la creciente...
06/07/2026 11:32 AMLe vrai message du bari
Il y a des moments où les marchés disent tout haut ce que les diplomaties préfèrent dire à demi-mot. La récente baisse du prix du pétrole en fait partie. Elle ne signifie pas que le Moyen-Orient est entré dans une période de paix. Elle ne signifie pas non plus que le risque iranien a disparu. Mais elle...
29/06/2026 7:09 AMMiddle East: Two Tracks, Two Doctrines
Sometimes, inside an American administration, the real divisions are not expressed openly. Officially, everyone is aligned behind the president. Officially, there is only one strategy, one line, one diplomacy. But in reality, files often speak more clearly than official statements.
This is what we...
24/06/2026 11:27 AMEl ocaso del eje de la resistencia: cómo el colapso de Siria e Irán redibuja el tablero de Oriente Medi
La reconfiguración del orden político en Oriente Medio ha alcanzado un punto de inflexión histórico tras los recientes cambios estructurales en Siria y la profunda degradación interna de la República Islámica de Irán.
Este...
22/06/2026 7:47 AMThe Iranian Theorem
By signing a memorandum of understanding with Tehran, Washington has ended a four-month war. On paper, the text can be read as an American victory: a ceasefire, the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, an Iranian commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons, and a 60-day negotiation window. So the White House can...
18/06/2026 12:43 PMU.S.–Iran Deal: The Victory of Survival
There are agreements that end a war. And there are agreements that simply move the battlefield. The one that could be signed between the United States and Iran likely belongs to the latter category.
"Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif claims that a final text has been found and that a...
18/06/2026 9:12 AMEl plan oculto tras la paz en Iran:Por qué Israel y Estados ya dise diseñan la estocada final
La prolongación del conflicto armado en Oriente Medio generaría un impacto asimétrico irreversible, donde Irán sufriría una implosión estructural interna mientras que las potencias occidentales e Israel capitalizarían la guerra...